U.S. Home Buyers Drove Contract Signings to December Record

4632 SW 18th Pl, Portland, OR 97239
Presented by Dori Olmsted | Offered at $1,069,000 | MLS# 20230131

From Mansion Global

Activity remained unseasonably high, though listing shortages threaten to take steam out of the housing market

The U.S. market continued an unseasonal rally in December, with pending sales hitting an all-time high for the month, according to an index released Friday.

Home buyers signed 21% more contracts in December than a year prior, as surging demand for homes kept dealmaking at unusually high levels given the time of year, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) Pending Home Sales Index.

Frenzied housing activity continued to show slight signs of deceleration, though it’s likely due to a severe lack of homes on the market, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR.

Signed contracts decreased by an ever-so-slight 0.3% in December compared to November, the fourth time in a row that dealmaking fell on a month-to-month basis. Pending sales peaked in August, though housing activity has remained at historically high levels since.

“Pending home sales contracts have dipped during recent months, but I would attribute that to having too few homes for sale,” Mr. Yun said in a news release on Friday. “There is a high demand for housing and a great number of would-be buyers, and therefore sales should rise with more new listings.”

Regionally, the South had the strongest December, with contracts up 27% over December 2019. The Northeast was next, with dealmaking up 22% year-over-year, followed by the West, up 19% annually, and the Midwest, up 14%, according to NAR’s figures.

On a local level, Portland, Oregon; Las Vegas; Denver; Los Angeles and Boston have recorded the most significant recovery in their markets since the lockdowns of last spring, according to a separate index from realtor.com.

Home prices in these and many other cities have soared as a result of competition over too few homes in the wake of the pandemic, which has spurred many to seek out new living arrangements while working and schooling from home. Inventory shortages could improve this spring, however, as sellers list their homes during the peak buying season, economists have speculated.

Full article on Mansion Global


2020’s Existing-home Sales Attain 14-Year Peak

65823 Bearing Drive, Bend, OR 97701
Presented by Pam Mayo-Phillips and Brook Havens | Offered at $2,995,000 | MLS# 220105134

From Realtor Magazine

According to the National Association of Realtors® report last Friday, existing-home sales in 2020 surged to the highest level in 14 years, landing 22% higher than a year ago. Existing-home sales—completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condos, and co-ops—posted big gains year over year and rose by 0.7% in December 2020 compared to November 2020’s already unseasonably high rates.

NAR’s Chief Economist, Lawrence Yun, said “This momentum is likely to carry into the new year, with more buyers expected to enter the market. Although mortgage rates are projected to increase, they will continue to hover near record lows at around 3%. Moreover, expect economic conditions to improve with additional stimulus forthcoming and vaccine distribution already underway.”

Existing-home sales in December 2020 reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.76 million. Still, home buyers are finding a limited number of homes for sale. Inventory levels are at record lows. That has placed continued pressure on home prices, which continue to post double-digit yearly gains.

The median existing-home price for all housing types in December 2020 was $309,800, up nearly 13% compared to December 2019, NAR reports. Every major region of the U.S. saw home prices rise last month.

Full article on Realtor Magazine


More Generations Are Living under One Roof This Year

2070 NW 113th Ave, Portland, OR 97229
Presented by Jim McCartan and Kayla McCormick | Offered at $1,295,000 | MLS# 20555414

From Keeping Current Matters

2020 changed the way we use our time to where we work, how we socialize and gather together, and our needs at home. This also meant making decisions as to how we can best support and reach out to our extended families.

Some families, with maybe older children who moved back home. While some families, with relatives living in senior facilities, wanted them to move into their home.

These changes led more homebuyers to invest in multi-generational homes to accommodate more long-term plans.  According to the 2020 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers from NAR, a multi-generational home has adult siblings, adult children over the age of 18, parents, and/or grandparents in the household.

Based on a recent study from NAR, there’s been an increase in purchasing trends for homes since the health crisis began. There are many reasons for this uptick in preference toward multi-generational homes. The top reasons show that buyers wanted to safely take care of and spend more time with aging parents.

Contact a real estate professional if you are in a similar situation to learn more about your local options and maybe even have your whole family under one roof by early next year.

Full article on Keeping Current Matters


Overall Home Sales Rise Nearly 26% From 2019

485 NW Spring St, White Salmon, WA 98672
Presented by England Property Group | Offered at $1,495,000 | MLS# 20673312

From Realtor Magazine

The National Association of REALTORS® reported last Tuesday that existing-home sales in November climbed 25.8% compared to last year.

Existing-home sales include completed transactions on single-family homes, townhomes, condos, and co-ops, slightly decreased by 2.5% in November compared to October’s unseasonably high levels. The slight decrease last month ended a five-month streak of month-over-month gains. Still, all four major regions across the country posted significant year-over-year growth.

Buying frenzy continued to press on housing markets in November. NAR reported that home prices are rapidly climbing up due to the high demand, posting double-digit increases compared to a year ago.

NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said that circumstances are far from being back to the pre-pandemic normal. However, the latest stimulus package and with the vaccine distribution underway, and a very strong demand for homeownership still prevalent, robust growth is forthcoming for 2021.

Full article on Realtor Magazine


July Pending Home Sales Jump Over 15% Annually, as Properties Go Under Contract in Record Time

29103 NE Lookout Rd Camas, WA 98607
Presented by Martiné Gibbons | Offered at $4,950,000 | MLS# 20190459

From cnbc.com

Homebuyers continue to show strong demand and prove that there isn’t a summer slowdown despite the Covid-19 pandemic.

According to the National Association of Realtors, pending home sales, which measure signed contracts to purchase existing homes, increased 5.9% in July compared with June, and sales were 15.5% higher annually.

NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said, “Home sellers are seeing their homes go under contract in record time, with nine new contracts for every 10 new listings.”

Yun does not expect sales to drop or become slower this fall season. He anticipates existing-home sales to reach 5.8 million in the second half of this year. This would then bring the full-year total to 5.4 million, showing a 1.1% increase compared with 2019.

Based on NAR’s index, the housing market activities from pent-up demand is in good shape. Pending home sales in the Northeast rose 25.2% for the month and were up 20.6% from a year ago. In the Midwest, sales rose 3.3% monthly and 15.4% annually. Sales in the South increased by 0.9% for the month and were up 14.9% from July 2019. Sales in the West rose 6.8% monthly and 13.2% annually.

“Anecdotally, Realtors are telling me there is no shortage of clients or home seekers, but that scarce inventory remains a problem,” Yun said. “If 20% more homes were on the market, we would have 20% more sales, because demand is that high.”

July sales of newly built homes, which are also measured by signed contracts, surged dramatically, as buyers are now looking for new, high-tech, smart homes with floor plans designed for working and schooling at home. Builders are also benefiting from the severe shortage of existing homes for sale.

Full article cnbc.com


Existing-Home Sales Surge 24.7% as Prices Soar to Record

910 Northshore Rd, Lake Oswego, OR 97034
Presented by Matt Tercek | Offered at $4,595,000 | MLS# 20019782

From newsmax.com

U.S. home sales increased for the second straight month in July and home prices also hit a record as low-interest rates increased the demand for homes even if the coronavirus pandemic put millions of people out of work.

According to the National Association of Realtors, existing-home sales rose by 24.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.86 million units last month. Data for June was revised slightly to a 4.70 million-unit pace from the originally reported 4.72 million.

July’s rise was the second consecutive increase, followed soon after a monthly increase in June, and raised the sales pace above the 5.76 million pace in February before the pandemic caused a momentary drop in sales. July’s level was the highest since December 2006.

“The housing market is well past the recovery phase and is now booming with higher home sales compared to the pre-pandemic days,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “With the sizable shift in remote work, current homeowners are looking for larger homes and this will lead to a secondary level of demand even into 2021.”

Economists surveyed by Reuters had projected sales rising 14.7% to a rate of 5.38 million units in July.

Existing home sales, which make up about 85% of U.S. home sales, increased 8.7% on a year-on-year basis in July.

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is at an average of 2.99%, hovering near levels last seen in the early 1970s, according to data from mortgage finance agency Freddie Mac. Data earlier this week showed homebuilding surge by the most in nearly four years in July.

Housing has been a bright spot in the economy even as other sectors suffer amid widespread coronavirus infections that have slowed commerce and kept unemployment high. More than 28 million people were collecting jobless benefits at the end of July.

The pandemic steered the economy into recession in February, ending a record-long expansion that had brought U.S. unemployment to a 50-year low.

Home sales rose in all four regions in June.

There were 1.5 million previously owned homes on the market in July, down 21.1% from a year ago. The median existing house price increased 8.5% from a year ago to a record of $304,100 in July.

At July’s sales pace, it would take 3.1 months to exhaust the current inventory, down from 4.2 months a year ago. A six-to-seven-month supply is viewed as a healthy balance between supply and demand.

Full details on newsmax.com


Contract Signings Make a ‘Remarkable’ Move

5203 54th Ct SE Salem, OR 97317
Presented by Hamid Karimi | Offered at $2,350,000 | MLS# 20682329

From Realtor Magazine

Pending home sales continued to increase rapidly for the second consecutive month in June despite the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the Pending Home Sales Index from the National Association of REALTORS®, an increase was seen in the month-over-month contract signings from each of the four major regions in the U.S. as home buyers rushed out to purchase homes across the country.

NAR’s index shows that contract signings increased by 6.3% compared to a year ago.

NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said that the contract activity for home purchases is higher compared to a year ago is quite surprising and remarkable considering that we are all amid a global pandemic. Consumers are taking opportunities from the record-low mortgage rates resulting from the Federal Reserve’s maximum liquidity monetary policy.

NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index jumped 16.6% month over month in June to a reading of 116.1.

See snapshot of housing report below:

Yun also said that the strong bounce-back comes after a longer lockdown in the Northeast region. The South, on the other hand, has consistently outperformed the rest of the country. And these remarkable rebounds equate to exceedingly a higher buyer demand.

Upbeat Forecasts for 2020 and Beyond

Because of the recent turnaround in contract signings, NARs adjusted its overall housing forecast. For 2020, NAR is now projecting existing-home sales to decrease by only 3%, with sales increasing to 5.6 million by Q4. New-home sales are projected to increase by 3% this year.

Yun is auspicious that positive GDP growth of 4% in 2021 will drive, on both existing and new, higher home sales. He forecasts existing-home sales to increase by 7% in 2021 and new-home sales to increase by 16%.

Home prices are also projected to increase by 4% in 2020. Yun predicts prices will moderate in 2021 but still increase by 3% as more supply is expected to hit the market.

Low financing costs are expected to continue to attract home buyers. NAR predicts that mortgage rates will stay at or near 3% over the next 18 months.

Full details on Realtor Magazine