Why Right Now May Be the Time to Sell Your House

45900 Tibbetts Rd, Neskowin, OR 97149
Presented by Camilla Arlit | Offered at $2,500,000 | MLS# 20-1410

From Keeping Current Matters

The housing market is now positioned for an even stronger year as it has incredibly recovered in 2020. Record-low mortgage interest rates are a driving factor in this continued momentum, with average rates hovering at historic all-time lows.

Based on the recent Realtors Confidence Index Survey from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), buyer demand across the country is incredibly strong. However, this is not the same case on the supply side. Seller traffic is simply not keeping up. Here’s a breakdown by state:

As the maps show, buyer traffic is high, but seller traffic is low. With so few homes for sale right now, record-low inventory is creating a mismatch between supply and demand.

NAR also just reported that the actual number of homes currently for sale stands at 1.28 million, down 22% from one year ago (1.64 million). Additionally, inventory is at an all-time low with 2.3 months supply available at the current sales pace. In a normal market, that number would be 6.0 months of inventory – significantly higher than it is today.

What does this mean for buyers and sellers?

Buyers need to remain patient in the search process. At the same time, they must be ready to act immediately once they find the right home since bidding wars are more common when so few houses are available for sale.

Sellers may not want to wait until spring to put their houses on the market, though. With such high buyer demand and such a low supply, now is the perfect time to sell a house on optimal terms.

Full article on Keeping Current Matters


People Moved to Oregon, Especially Bend, in 2020 Despite the Pandemic

187 NW Scenic Heights Drive, Bend, OR 97703
Presented by Julie Moe & Jared Chase Group | Offered at $1,595,000 | MLS# 220102359

From katu.com

Bend, Oregon is now being famously called “Zoom Town” – thanks to a spike of homebuyers in 2020.

Zoom Town, a reference to the video conferencing platform Zoom, described cities with a spike of workers who moved as they discovered that their jobs could be done remotely during the pandemic.

In addition to this, Oregon remains a popular moving destination. Most people have been buying homes in Bend with the intention of living and working there rather than buying a vacation home.

It is also been said that it is financially much more feasible to get a nice family home in and around Portland, as opposed to the Bay Area.

Full article on katu.com


Migration to booming ‘Zoom towns’ in Pacific Northwest sends home prices into overdrive

19204 Gateway Loop, Bend, OR 97702
Presented by The Ladd Group | Offered at $870,500 | MLS# 202003108

From nwnewsnetwork.org

“Zoom towns”, a new term that you can add to your lexicon. These are scenic places experiencing a surge of house hunters. Booming demand comes from workers freed by the pandemic to work from home long term. One place where the pandemic has charged greatly, an already hot real estate market, is Bend, Oregon.

“I think ‘Zoom town’ very accurately captures the experience that we’re having right now,” said Brian Ladd, a Principal Broker with Cascade Sotheby’s International Realty in Bend.

“For anyone that had interest in moving to a town like ours, that plan was greatly accelerated because of COVID,” Brian Ladd said in an interview over Zoom. “When they were able to work remotely, or they were forced to work remotely, all of a sudden it became an option.”

Brian Ladd’s observations are shared by brokers in some outdoorsy, vacation destinations around the Pacific Northwest. Zoom towns could include Sunriver and parts of the Oregon Coast besides Bend.

The housing market nationwide has shown remarkable strength in 2020, driven by low-interest rates and desire among buyers to acquire more elbow room. What distinguishes the Zoom towns is strong in-migration this year from larger locales. At these destinations, home sales since late spring have gone on a tear, resulting in very low inventory and rapidly rising housing prices.

In Bend and surrounding Deschutes County, the average residential home price in October was up 17% year over year. The median sales price in October in Bend was $560,000. Brian Ladd said the average number of days on the market for desirable homes to go pending is around five days, which means many homes get multiple offers.

“What it felt like is it really unleashed a whole wave of people who had had the dream of moving and living in a beautiful place like this, and it seemingly all happened at once,” said Brian Ladd.

Full article on nwnewsnetwork.org


Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Baseline Limit Will Increase to $548,250

654 View Rd, Florence, OR 97439
Presented by Jack Winter | Offered at $1,550,000 | MLS# 20-1885

From nahbnow.com

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced on November 24, 2020 that the maximum baseline conforming loan limits for mortgages acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in 2021 will increase to $548,250 from $510,400.

The loan limit will rise 7.42% in 2021 because FHFA has determined that the average U.S. home value increased by that amount between the third quarters of 2019 and 2020.

Higher loan limits will be in effect in higher-cost areas as well. The new ceiling loan limit in high-cost markets will be $822,375. The previous ceiling was $765,600.

What does this mean for homebuyers?

The increase keeps homebuyers in step with a more expensive housing market by allowing them to borrow more to the limit of what is called a “Conforming Loan”. With conforming loans, buyers can purchase homes with lower down payments and more competitive rates.

Full article on nahbnow.com


October existing-home sales see ‘spectacular’ 26.6% annual gain even with short supply and surging prices

8585 SE 242nd Ave Damascus, OR 97089
Presented by Veronica Park | Offered at $4,800,000 | MLS# 19657180

From cnbc.com

According to the National Association of Realtors, sales of existing homes in October soared to 4.3% compared with September, as well as a 26.6% annual increase to an adjusted rate of 6.85 million units.

NAR’s Chief Economist, Lawrence Yun, called this “a spectacular gain”. To him, the surge in sales in recent months had offset the spring market losses. And with the news of having a COVID-19 vaccine will soon be available, and with mortgage rates projected to hover around 3% in 2021, he expects the market’s growth to continue into 2021. Yun forecasts existing home sales to rise by 10% to 6M in 2021.

Based on the report, there were 1.42 million existing homes on the market at the end of October, a 19.8% drop compared with October 2019. At the current sales pace, the data represents a 2.5-month supply, the lowest on record.

NAR also said that the median price of an existing home sold in October was $313,000, up 15.5% annually. That is the highest median price on record and reflects the far stronger sales on the higher end of the market.

Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at realtor.com, mentioned that while the rising coronavirus cases could dampen sales, mortgage rates could tick up in the months ahead and test the strength of this seemingly unstoppable housing market.

On another note, investors continue to be strong in the market. The severe shortage of existing homes for sale has been incredibly beneficial for the nation’s homebuilders, who have seen very strong demand. Mortgage applications to purchase newly-built homes were up nearly 33% annually in October, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Full article on cnbc.com


July Pending Home Sales Jump Over 15% Annually, as Properties Go Under Contract in Record Time

29103 NE Lookout Rd Camas, WA 98607
Presented by Martiné Gibbons | Offered at $4,950,000 | MLS# 20190459

From cnbc.com

Homebuyers continue to show strong demand and prove that there isn’t a summer slowdown despite the Covid-19 pandemic.

According to the National Association of Realtors, pending home sales, which measure signed contracts to purchase existing homes, increased 5.9% in July compared with June, and sales were 15.5% higher annually.

NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said, “Home sellers are seeing their homes go under contract in record time, with nine new contracts for every 10 new listings.”

Yun does not expect sales to drop or become slower this fall season. He anticipates existing-home sales to reach 5.8 million in the second half of this year. This would then bring the full-year total to 5.4 million, showing a 1.1% increase compared with 2019.

Based on NAR’s index, the housing market activities from pent-up demand is in good shape. Pending home sales in the Northeast rose 25.2% for the month and were up 20.6% from a year ago. In the Midwest, sales rose 3.3% monthly and 15.4% annually. Sales in the South increased by 0.9% for the month and were up 14.9% from July 2019. Sales in the West rose 6.8% monthly and 13.2% annually.

“Anecdotally, Realtors are telling me there is no shortage of clients or home seekers, but that scarce inventory remains a problem,” Yun said. “If 20% more homes were on the market, we would have 20% more sales, because demand is that high.”

July sales of newly built homes, which are also measured by signed contracts, surged dramatically, as buyers are now looking for new, high-tech, smart homes with floor plans designed for working and schooling at home. Builders are also benefiting from the severe shortage of existing homes for sale.

Full article cnbc.com


Existing-Home Sales Surge 24.7% as Prices Soar to Record

910 Northshore Rd, Lake Oswego, OR 97034
Presented by Matt Tercek | Offered at $4,595,000 | MLS# 20019782

From newsmax.com

U.S. home sales increased for the second straight month in July and home prices also hit a record as low-interest rates increased the demand for homes even if the coronavirus pandemic put millions of people out of work.

According to the National Association of Realtors, existing-home sales rose by 24.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.86 million units last month. Data for June was revised slightly to a 4.70 million-unit pace from the originally reported 4.72 million.

July’s rise was the second consecutive increase, followed soon after a monthly increase in June, and raised the sales pace above the 5.76 million pace in February before the pandemic caused a momentary drop in sales. July’s level was the highest since December 2006.

“The housing market is well past the recovery phase and is now booming with higher home sales compared to the pre-pandemic days,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “With the sizable shift in remote work, current homeowners are looking for larger homes and this will lead to a secondary level of demand even into 2021.”

Economists surveyed by Reuters had projected sales rising 14.7% to a rate of 5.38 million units in July.

Existing home sales, which make up about 85% of U.S. home sales, increased 8.7% on a year-on-year basis in July.

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is at an average of 2.99%, hovering near levels last seen in the early 1970s, according to data from mortgage finance agency Freddie Mac. Data earlier this week showed homebuilding surge by the most in nearly four years in July.

Housing has been a bright spot in the economy even as other sectors suffer amid widespread coronavirus infections that have slowed commerce and kept unemployment high. More than 28 million people were collecting jobless benefits at the end of July.

The pandemic steered the economy into recession in February, ending a record-long expansion that had brought U.S. unemployment to a 50-year low.

Home sales rose in all four regions in June.

There were 1.5 million previously owned homes on the market in July, down 21.1% from a year ago. The median existing house price increased 8.5% from a year ago to a record of $304,100 in July.

At July’s sales pace, it would take 3.1 months to exhaust the current inventory, down from 4.2 months a year ago. A six-to-seven-month supply is viewed as a healthy balance between supply and demand.

Full details on newsmax.com


Contract Signings Make a ‘Remarkable’ Move

5203 54th Ct SE Salem, OR 97317
Presented by Hamid Karimi | Offered at $2,350,000 | MLS# 20682329

From Realtor Magazine

Pending home sales continued to increase rapidly for the second consecutive month in June despite the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the Pending Home Sales Index from the National Association of REALTORS®, an increase was seen in the month-over-month contract signings from each of the four major regions in the U.S. as home buyers rushed out to purchase homes across the country.

NAR’s index shows that contract signings increased by 6.3% compared to a year ago.

NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said that the contract activity for home purchases is higher compared to a year ago is quite surprising and remarkable considering that we are all amid a global pandemic. Consumers are taking opportunities from the record-low mortgage rates resulting from the Federal Reserve’s maximum liquidity monetary policy.

NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index jumped 16.6% month over month in June to a reading of 116.1.

See snapshot of housing report below:

Yun also said that the strong bounce-back comes after a longer lockdown in the Northeast region. The South, on the other hand, has consistently outperformed the rest of the country. And these remarkable rebounds equate to exceedingly a higher buyer demand.

Upbeat Forecasts for 2020 and Beyond

Because of the recent turnaround in contract signings, NARs adjusted its overall housing forecast. For 2020, NAR is now projecting existing-home sales to decrease by only 3%, with sales increasing to 5.6 million by Q4. New-home sales are projected to increase by 3% this year.

Yun is auspicious that positive GDP growth of 4% in 2021 will drive, on both existing and new, higher home sales. He forecasts existing-home sales to increase by 7% in 2021 and new-home sales to increase by 16%.

Home prices are also projected to increase by 4% in 2020. Yun predicts prices will moderate in 2021 but still increase by 3% as more supply is expected to hit the market.

Low financing costs are expected to continue to attract home buyers. NAR predicts that mortgage rates will stay at or near 3% over the next 18 months.

Full details on Realtor Magazine


Is the Health Crisis Driving Buyers Out of Urban Areas?

18820 Green Bluff Drive Lake Oswego, OR 97034
Listed by Tony Polito and Jennifer Benelli | Offered at $1,395,000 | MLS# 20229842

From keepingcurrentmatters.com

Coronavirus made consumers reassess the factors that make up the “perfect home”. Locations and layouts of their existing homes were taken into consideration. The appeal of a more congested city life appears to be giving way to either suburban or less congested rural life. The interest with an open floor plan faded as people needed more privacy while working from home.

A recent report from news.com showed that buyers are now leaning heavily for more listings of suburban and rural properties.

Here are the year-over-year percentage increases in views per property type:

  • Urban – 7%
  • Suburban – 13%
  • Rural – 16%

Realtor.com’s Director of Economic Research said that the migration to the suburbs is not a new trend but it became more prominent. After several months of staying home, the urge to have more space, and the probability for more people to work from home are factors contributing to this.

Realtor Magazine also reported that the desire to move is strongest in our city markets.

The pandemic also altered how consumers think about floor plans that is

The pandemic also altered how consumers think about floor plans that is why builders are anticipating changes in how future homes will look like. Zillow explained in a recent press release that:

  • Builders believe as people spend more time at home during the pandemic, buyers are realizing which features of their homes are working and not working.
  • Homebuilders predict open-concept floor plans will be a thing of the past, as people now value more walls, doors, and overall privacy.
  • New construction, which offers the chance to personalize home features, saw its listing page views grow by 73% over last May.

The pandemic is impacting the luxury market too. Realtor.com’s Chief Economist previously reported that stay at home and social distancing orders made ‘extra space’ even more relevant. This leads high-end buyers to find a second home that is within driving distance from their primary residence.

It seems that a percentage of people are preparing to leave many American cities. These moves may be permanent, while others may be temporary. In either case, many consumers are on the move and Real Estate Professionals are always ready to help.

Full article on keepingcurrentmatters.com